Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orange County SC v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
2-2
HT 1-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
2-2
HT 0-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
Orange County SC 0-1 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive squeezed past Orange County SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Orange County SC had 57% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 43%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.09 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orange County SC and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
Orange County SC 0-1 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 45%, draw 28%, El Paso Locomotive 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orange County SC) went the other way.