San Antonio 1-0 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.75
No
63%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.82
6+ Goals
6%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 39% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.0pp
63%
BTTS No
47%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.42/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.87
+6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.3 Crosses 19.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-0
AWAY North Carolina
0.37 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
289 Passes 522
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio nicked a narrow win over North Carolina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day San Antonio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, San Antonio had 37% of the ball to North Carolina's 63%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.37 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured North Carolina.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs North Carolina?

San Antonio 1-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 40%, draw 28%, North Carolina 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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