Persepolis 1-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Aug 2025

Persepolis
1-1 HT 0-1
Fajr Sepasi
📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2025/2026

Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.95
No
63%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.76
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
30%
+7.2pp
63%
BTTS No
70%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persepolis v Fajr Sepasi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.62/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.24
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
02.06.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.01.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis and Fajr Sepasi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Persepolis carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persepolis and 0.00 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi?

Persepolis 1-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 63%, draw 26%, Fajr Sepasi 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persepolis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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