Nardo 1-1 Kristiansund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.25
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
7%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
23%
Over 2.5
77%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
16%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
76%
+3.4pp
14%
Draw
13%
+0.5pp
7%
Away Win
11%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund II EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/3.39
+16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
355 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kristiansund II
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.06.2025 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II 1-4 HT 1-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
03.06.2023 Nardo Nardo 3-0 HT 1-0 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
1-1
AWAY Kristiansund II
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Kristiansund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo and Kristiansund II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nardo at 79% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (77%) missed.

On the day, Nardo had 56% of the ball to Kristiansund II's 44%, shots finished 24-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Nardo and 0.50 for Kristiansund II.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Kristiansund II?

Nardo 1-1 Kristiansund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Kristiansund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Nardo 79%, draw 14%, Kristiansund II 7%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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