Coventry 1-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 18 Sep 2024

Coventry
1-2 HT 0-0
Tottenham
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Coventry vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.84
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.84 — our 26% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.88
1/2
10%
19.7
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
9%
11.9
X/2
19%
4.15
X/X
9%
6.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.87
2/X
10%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
49%
Away Win
60%
-10.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 64%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.03/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.69
+21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
– Crosses 23.1
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Coventry vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tottenham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
05.01.2013 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 3-0 Coventry Coventry FAK
17.03.2001 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNP
14.10.2000 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Coventry 1-2 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Tottenham
2.22 xG 1.27
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
167 Passes 513
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham edged past Coventry 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Coventry had 30% of the ball to Tottenham's 70%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.22 to 1.27 — on chances, Coventry could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coventry and 2.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Tottenham?

Coventry 1-2 Tottenham in the England - League Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coventry 26%, draw 25%, Tottenham 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5
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