Paradiso 1-3 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.78/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.05
-56% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Basel II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-1 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
16.09.2023 Basel II Basel II 1-3 HT 0-3 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradiso
1-3
AWAY Basel II
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II got the better of Paradiso 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Paradiso at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paradiso had 48% of the ball to Basel II's 52%, shots finished 19-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paradiso had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paradiso and 1.00 for Basel II.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Basel II?

Paradiso 1-3 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 41%, draw 25%, Basel II 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paradiso), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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