Slavia Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+11.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-16.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.26/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.56
-71% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +65%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
0 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.11.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-3 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.11.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
0-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past Slavia Sofia 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 49% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 51%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Sofia and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Slavia Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 26%, draw 27%, Ludogorets Razgrad 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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