Spaeri 4-3 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gürcitan Cup, 18 Sep 2024

Spaeri
4-3 HT 4-0
Telavi
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Gürcitan Cup – 2024

Spaeri vs Telavi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
14%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.2pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.2pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spaeri v Telavi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spaeri EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Spaeri vs Telavi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spaeri
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Telavi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Telavi Telavi 4-0 HT 3-0 Spaeri Spaeri GUR
06.12.2023 Spaeri Spaeri 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR

Spaeri 4-3 Telavi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spaeri
4-3
AWAY Telavi
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spaeri vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spaeri squeezed past Telavi 4-3. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (21% / 37% / 41%) promised a tight game; Spaeri found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spaeri had 47% of the ball to Telavi's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Telavi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spaeri and 2.50 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Spaeri vs Telavi?

Spaeri 4-3 Telavi in the Gürcitan Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spaeri vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spaeri 21%, draw 37%, Telavi 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telavi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telavi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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