Celje 2-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.64/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.76
+27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Maribor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
12.11.2023 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.09.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.04.2023 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.02.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 2-0 Celje Celje SLVN
29.10.2022 Celje Celje 3-3 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY Maribor
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Celje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje squeezed past Maribor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celje had 52% of the ball to Maribor's 48%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Celje vs Maribor?

Celje 2-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celje 45%, draw 25%, Maribor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →