Al Safa 0-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.81/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.30
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Al Safa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Najma?

Al Safa 0-1 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 36%, draw 29%, Al Najma 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Safa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Safa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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