Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 Hacken (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Atletico Madrid (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-78% / -78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.68
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +86%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
Crosses 8.4
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hacken (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.09.2025 Hacken (K) Hacken (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
2-1
AWAY Hacken (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) squeezed past Hacken (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 61% of the ball to Hacken (K)'s 39%, shots finished 24-14.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 Hacken (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 63%, draw 21%, Hacken (K) 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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