Ferencvaros (K) 1-2 Valerenga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
18%
5.15
Away Pick
67%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Valerenga (K) win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
67%
Away Win
72%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 7.00/0.00
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valerenga (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
1 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.09.2025 Valerenga (K) Valerenga (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros (K) Ferencvaros (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros (K)
1-2
AWAY Valerenga (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros (K) vs Valerenga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) edged past Ferencvaros (K) 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valerenga (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ferencvaros (K) had 38% of the ball to Valerenga (K)'s 62%, shots finished 2-15.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Ferencvaros (K) 1-2 Valerenga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros (K) 15%, draw 18%, Valerenga (K) 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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