Sporting CP (K) 0-2 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Roma (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.09.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting CP (K) Sporting CP (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP (K)
0-2
AWAY Roma (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting CP (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) saw off Sporting CP (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting CP (K) had 38% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 62%, shots finished 6-20.

What was the final score of Sporting CP (K) vs Roma (K)?

Sporting CP (K) 0-2 Roma (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP (K) 27%, draw 25%, Roma (K) 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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