Beijing Guoan 2-2 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 18 Sep 2025

Beijing Guoan
2-2 HT 0-1
Cong An Nhan Dan
📅18/09/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Beijing Guoan vs Cong An Nhan Dan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beijing Guoan v Cong An Nhan Dan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Cong An Nhan Dan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-2
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
0.52 xG 2.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
225 Passes 329
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Cong An Nhan Dan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 41% of the ball to Cong An Nhan Dan's 59%, shots finished 11-29, expected goals 0.52 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Cong An Nhan Dan in the AFCŞL2 on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 45%, draw 25%, Cong An Nhan Dan 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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