Leeds United 2-0 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Oct 2024

Leeds United
2-0
Sheffield United
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.82
Over
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
35%
3.21
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
17%
3.66
6+
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.21 — our 35% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.19
X/2
9%
7.92
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.1
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.81/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.60
+41% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.0 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leeds United vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
350 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.04.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
27.09.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
16.03.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
01.12.2018 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
10.02.2018 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
27.10.2017 Leeds United Leeds United 1-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Leeds United 2-0 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-0
AWAY Sheffield United
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
455 Passes 353
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United beat Sheffield United 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 55% of the ball to Sheffield United's 45%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Sheffield United?

Leeds United 2-0 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 49%, draw 27%, Sheffield United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →