Southampton U21 4-1 Fleetwood Town U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
33%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Southampton U21 win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
82%
-24.1pp
17%
Draw
10%
+7.5pp
25%
Away Win
8%
+16.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21 The Market 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +50%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
536 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 swept aside Fleetwood Town U21 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Southampton U21 4-1 Fleetwood Town U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 58%, draw 17%, Fleetwood Town U21 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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