Örgryte 4-2 Sandvikens IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.51
Over Pick
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.33
2-3
40%
1.99
4-5
26%
2.68
6+
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.33
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
14%
7.04
X/2
17%
5.04
X/X
11%
5.92
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.55/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.97
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sandvikens IF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
26.05.2024 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF 3-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
13.11.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 2-3 HT 1-0 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF İSÇ2
10.11.2022 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF 0-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
16.03.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 2-1 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF İSÇK
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Sandvikens IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte got the better of Sandvikens IF 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Örgryte found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Örgryte and 1.75 for Sandvikens IF.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Sandvikens IF?

Örgryte 4-2 Sandvikens IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Sandvikens IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandvikens IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 36%, draw 25%, Sandvikens IF 39%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandvikens IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandvikens IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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