Sevilla II 2-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.71
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
2.03/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+63% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2022 Sevilla II Sevilla II 2-1 HT 1-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
10.10.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 5-1 HT 3-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
2-1
AWAY Villarreal II
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II squeezed past Villarreal II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sevilla II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla II had 45% of the ball to Villarreal II's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sevilla II and 3.00 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Villarreal II?

Sevilla II 2-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 39%, draw 26%, Villarreal II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✗ Under 2.5
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