Beerschot VA 2-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Oct 2024

Beerschot VA
2-1 HT 1-0
Anderlecht
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.23
Over Pick
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.64
2-3
39%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.86
6+
10%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
8.92
1/2
5%
20.6
1/X
9%
17.15
X/1
6%
12.2
X/2
16%
3.79
X/X
5%
6.56
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.83
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.13
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
16.5 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
0.96 xG 3.09
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 503
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.12.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-7 HT 0-3 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.10.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.12.2020 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
22.11.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
25.09.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA squeezed past Anderlecht 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Anderlecht carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Beerschot VA and 3.20 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht?

Beerschot VA 2-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 26%, draw 19%, Anderlecht 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →