Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Oct 2024

Universitario de Vinto
2-1 HT 1-0
Real Tomayapo
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitario de Vinto v Real Tomayapo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
-37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.2 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.05.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
18.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
20.05.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
09.10.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
16.04.2022 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 0-1 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
05.02.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ

Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Real Tomayapo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-1
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.40 xG 0.82
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 13
183 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto nicked a narrow win over Real Tomayapo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 37% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 63%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.40 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.50 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo?

Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 47%, draw 26%, Real Tomayapo 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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