Monterrey (K) 3-0 Alajuelense (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.16
Draw
28%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.59
Over
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Monterrey (K) win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-22.2pp
28%
Draw
11%
+16.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.1pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+87% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Monterrey (K) vs Alajuelense (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey (K) ran out comfortable winners over Alajuelense (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monterrey (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Monterrey (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Monterrey (K) 3-0 Alajuelense (K) in the CONK on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Monterrey (K) 60%, draw 28%, Alajuelense (K) 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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