18/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Teleghma vs MSP Batna Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Teleghma win — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
55%
Home Win
52%
20%
Draw
28%
26%
Away Win
20%
53%
Under 2.5
62%
47%
Over 2.5
38%
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
55%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Teleghma v MSP Batna — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Teleghma
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
MSP Batna
The Market 23%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.30/0.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.35/0.97
+3%
/
+43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-58%
/
+27%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
298 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Teleghma vs MSP Batna Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Teleghma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
MSP Batna
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
18.05.2021
Teleghma
4-1
HT 2-1
MSP Batna
CZYR2
4-1
HT 2-1
MSP Batna
CZYR2
POST-MATCH
Teleghma vs MSP Batna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Teleghma nicked a narrow win over MSP Batna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Teleghma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Teleghma vs MSP Batna?
Teleghma 2-1 MSP Batna in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Teleghma vs MSP Batna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Teleghma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Teleghma 55%, draw 20%, MSP Batna 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teleghma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Teleghma)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
CZYR2
More Algeria - 2nd Division
18 Oct 2024