Durban City 1-0 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Durban City
1-0 HT 0-0
Baroka
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Durban City vs Baroka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Durban City v Baroka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Durban City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
+28% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
POST-MATCH Durban City vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durban City squeezed past Baroka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Durban City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Durban City vs Baroka?

Durban City 1-0 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Durban City vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Durban City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Durban City 43%, draw 23%, Baroka 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Durban City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Durban City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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