Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-3 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No Pick
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.18
2-3
33%
1.81
4-5
22%
5.74
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+13.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan The Market 20%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.48/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.93
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zob Ahan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
13.03.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
25.11.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.09.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2 HT 1-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
31.03.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
14.10.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan cruised past Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.67 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-3 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 46%, draw 24%, Zob Ahan 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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