Mathare United 1-0 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 54%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bidco United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.11.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
1-0
AWAY Bidco United
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United edged past Bidco United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bidco United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Mathare United had 46% of the ball to Bidco United's 54%, shots finished 4-3.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Bidco United?

Mathare United 1-0 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 28%, draw 31%, Bidco United 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bidco United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bidco United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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