Neptüna Klaipeda 4-1 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.51
-24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +113%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
03.06.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
12.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
22.05.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda cruised past Be1 NFA 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.25 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Be1 NFA?

Neptüna Klaipeda 4-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 27%, draw 25%, Be1 NFA 48%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Be1 NFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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