Buzau 3-0 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Buzau
3-0 HT 1-0
Hermannstadt
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Buzau vs Hermannstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buzau v Hermannstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buzau EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 38%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
0.48/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
-11% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.0 Crosses 26.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Buzau 3-0 Hermannstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buzau
3-0
AWAY Hermannstadt
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Buzau vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buzau cruised past Hermannstadt 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Buzau found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Buzau had 53% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 47%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Buzau vs Hermannstadt?

Buzau 3-0 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buzau vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Buzau 38%, draw 29%, Hermannstadt 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buzau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buzau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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