FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.59
Over 2.5
54%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.43
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.8
X/1
17%
3.8
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
6%
4.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
29.0
2/2
8%
7.68
2/X
7%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 12% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
59%
-12.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
41%
+12.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.69/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.40
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.8 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fakel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 254
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
16.04.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
24.07.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2-3
AWAY Fakel
1.60 xG 1.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
253 Passes 171
68% Pass Accuracy 57%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fakel edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 3-2 away from home in the Russia - Premier League on 18 Oct 2024. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 56% of the ball to Fakel's 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.60 to 1.96.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.33 for Fakel.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel?

FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 50%, draw 24%, Fakel 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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