Zlate Moravce 1-1 Malzenice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.18
Over Pick
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
30%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.0pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Malzenice The Market 12%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.25
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Malzenice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Malzenice Malzenice 1-2 HT 1-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
1-1
AWAY Malzenice
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Malzenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce and Malzenice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zlate Moravce at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 63% of the ball to Malzenice's 37%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Malzenice?

Zlate Moravce 1-1 Malzenice in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Malzenice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 59%, draw 19%, Malzenice 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zlate Moravce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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