Morecambe 0-3 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.08
Away Pick
60%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.95
2-3
38%
1.93
4-5
27%
2.6
6+
12%
6.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.95 — our 23% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
8.27
1/2
12%
19.35
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
8%
11.35
X/2
18%
4.3
X/X
11%
6.79
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.9
2/X
6%
14.85
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Morecambe The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United The Market 64%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
4.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.72
3.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
206 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Southend United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 270
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
26.09.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
02.05.2015 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
04.10.2014 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
08.03.2014 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
09.11.2013 Morecambe Morecambe 0-3 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
0-3
AWAY Southend United
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Morecambe vs Southend United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Southend United cruised past Morecambe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Morecambe's favour, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Morecambe against 1.17 for Southend United.

Morecambe vs Southend United Result & Final Score

Morecambe 0-3 Southend United in the England - National League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Morecambe vs Southend United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 18%, draw 22%, Southend United 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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