Harborough Town 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.49/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.62
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.03.2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
22.10.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
1-0
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town edged past Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Harborough Town had 36% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 64%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Harborough Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harborough Town and 0.50 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Harborough Town 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 65%, draw 22%, Bromsgrove Sporting 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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