Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paderborn v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals
Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Paderborn
AL2
0-2
HT 0-2
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Paderborn
AL2
2-2
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
Paderborn 4-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn edged past Arminia Bielefeld 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Paderborn had 50% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 50%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 3.60 to 2.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paderborn and 1.83 for Arminia Bielefeld.
What was the final score of Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Paderborn 4-3 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 56%, draw 23%, Arminia Bielefeld 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.