Sumqayıt 4-1 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

Sumqayıt
4-1 HT 1-1
Karvan Evlakh
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sumqayıt vs Karvan Evlakh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Karvan Evlakh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 18%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.89/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.51
+53% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sumqayıt vs Karvan Evlakh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
18.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-1 HT 0-0 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERK
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt swept aside Karvan Evlakh 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Karvan Evlakh?

Sumqayıt 4-1 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 57%, draw 22%, Karvan Evlakh 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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