Montpellier (K) 3-1 Lens (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 18 Oct 2025

Montpellier (K)
3-1 HT 2-0
Lens (K)
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Montpellier (K) vs Lens (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
53%
+9.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v Lens (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.35/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.02
-10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.9 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montpellier (K) 3-1 Lens (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
3-1
AWAY Lens (K)
2.25 xG 0.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
315 Passes 148
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Lens (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) beat Lens (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 64% of the ball to Lens (K)'s 36%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Lens (K)?

Montpellier (K) 3-1 Lens (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Lens (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 62%, draw 19%, Lens (K) 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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