FK Turan 3-6 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
64%
Away Win
62%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.61/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.22
-33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
21.06.2025 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
17.08.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 6-0 HT 4-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
23.06.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 2-2 HT 1-2 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey swept aside FK Turan 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Turan and 3.33 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Yelimay Semey?

FK Turan 3-6 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 14%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 64%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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