Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.19
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.42
6+
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.46/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.02
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
09.09.2014 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 2-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare nicked a narrow win over Ebbsfleet United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Weston-super-Mare found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 32% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 68%, shots finished 3-6.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 40%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5
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