Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
31.08.2015 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-2
AWAY Alfreton Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town nicked a narrow win over Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 59% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 41%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 Alfreton Town in the England - FA Cup on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 46%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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