USM El Harrach 2-1 RC Arbaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
70%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.3pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Arbaa EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
2.17/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.58
+22% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Arbaa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.04.2021 RC Arbaa RC Arbaa 2-0 HT 0-0 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
2-1
AWAY RC Arbaa
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs RC Arbaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past RC Arbaa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 54% of the ball to RC Arbaa's 46%, shots finished 18-2.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs RC Arbaa?

USM El Harrach 2-1 RC Arbaa in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs RC Arbaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 70%, draw 21%, RC Arbaa 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach)
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