Fas U17 3-2 Mali U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup - U17, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
3%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas U17 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali U17 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas U17
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mali U17
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.17 xG 1.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
204 Passes 383
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2023 Mali U17 Mali U17 1-0 HT 0-0 Fas U17 Fas U17 DKU17
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas U17
3-2
AWAY Mali U17
1.16 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
248 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fas U17 vs Mali U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U17 nicked a narrow win over Mali U17 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Fas U17 made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Fas U17 had 41% of the ball to Mali U17's 59%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.16 to 1.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mali U17.

What was the final score of Fas U17 vs Mali U17?

Fas U17 3-2 Mali U17 in the World Cup - U17 on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas U17 vs Mali U17?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fas U17 30%, draw 31%, Mali U17 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mali U17), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mali U17) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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