Lesotho 0-1 Malavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Nov 2025

Lesotho
0-1 HT 0-1
Malavi
📅18/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Lesotho vs Malavi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lesotho v Malavi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lesotho EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavi EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lesotho vs Malavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavi nicked a narrow win over Lesotho 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Malavi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Lesotho vs Malavi?

Lesotho 0-1 Malavi in the Friendlies on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lesotho vs Malavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lesotho win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lesotho 40%, draw 29%, Malavi 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lesotho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lesotho) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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