18/12/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
26%
Draw
30%
35%
Away Win
30%
55%
Under 2.5
56%
45%
Over 2.5
44%
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
54%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bergantinos v RC Deportivo Fabril — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bergantinos
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
RC Deportivo Fabril
EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% /
-25%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-29% /
-29%
0.99/1.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.33/1.93
-19%
/
-30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
-42%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
286 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
349 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
POST-MATCH
Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bergantinos edged past RC Deportivo Fabril 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bergantinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril?
Bergantinos 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 38%, draw 26%, RC Deportivo Fabril 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergantinos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bergantinos)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →