Bergantinos 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.99/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.93
-19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos edged past RC Deportivo Fabril 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bergantinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Bergantinos 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 38%, draw 26%, RC Deportivo Fabril 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergantinos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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