Sassuolo U20 2-4 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.01/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / +57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo U20
2-4
AWAY Milan U20
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 got the better of Sassuolo U20 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Milan U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo U20 had 45% of the ball to Milan U20's 55%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Sassuolo U20 vs Milan U20?

Sassuolo U20 2-4 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo U20 38%, draw 29%, Milan U20 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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