Clodiense 1-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.53
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
20%
4.15
6+
10%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-10.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clodiense EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 69%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.51/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.79
-30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
189 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clodiense
1-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Clodiense vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Clodiense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clodiense had 45% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 55%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Clodiense vs Padova Calcio?

Clodiense 1-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clodiense vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Clodiense 21%, draw 26%, Padova Calcio 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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