Myanmar 3-2 Laos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 18 Dec 2024

Myanmar
3-2 HT 1-0
Laos
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Myanmar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Laos EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Myanmar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Laos
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.27
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
388 Passes 134
81% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2018 Laos Laos 1-3 HT 1-1 Myanmar Myanmar AFF
13.10.2015 Myanmar Myanmar 3-1 HT 2-1 Laos Laos DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Myanmar
3-2
AWAY Laos
2.85 xG 1.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 191
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
42 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Myanmar vs Laos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Myanmar nicked a narrow win over Laos 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Myanmar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Myanmar had 61% of the ball to Laos's 39%, shots finished 32-9, expected goals 2.85 to 1.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Myanmar's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Myanmar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Myanmar and 1.00 for Laos.

What was the final score of Myanmar vs Laos?

Myanmar 3-2 Laos in the AFF Championship on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Myanmar vs Laos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Myanmar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Myanmar 47%, draw 29%, Laos 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Myanmar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Myanmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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