Monaco 2-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Dec 2024

Monaco
2-4 HT 0-1
PSG
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Monaco vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.33
Over Pick
55%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.73
2-3
36%
1.9
4-5
28%
2.72
6+
11%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.1
1/2 ✗
11%
21.05
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
12%
9.11
X/2
12%
4.47
X/X
9%
5.91
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.27
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.05 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monaco v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 57%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +18%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.34
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
12.5 Crosses 12.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Monaco vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PSG
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 542
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
24.11.2023 PSG PSG 5-2 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
11.02.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 3-1 PSG PSG FR1
28.08.2022 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
20.03.2022 Monaco Monaco 3-0 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
12.12.2021 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 2-0 Monaco Monaco FR1

Monaco 2-4 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
2-4
AWAY PSG
2.48 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
309 Passes 492
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Monaco vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG took care of Monaco 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 26% / 39%); PSG picked one for it. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Monaco had 40% of the ball to PSG's 60%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.48 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monaco.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monaco and 1.50 for PSG.

Monaco vs PSG Result & Final Score

Monaco 2-4 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monaco 35%, draw 26%, PSG 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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