Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-0 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
3.05
No
52%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
29%
+19.1pp
52%
BTTS No
71%
-19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.36/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/4.48
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -49%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.11.2023 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
4-0
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) swept aside Omiya Ardija (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 49% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 51%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-0 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 65%, draw 23%, Omiya Ardija (K) 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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