Al Bukayriyah 2-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.88
No
64%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.3pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.51
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bukayriyah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
06.11.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah got the better of Al Najma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Bukayriyah as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Bukayriyah and 2.00 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma?

Al Bukayriyah 2-0 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 43%, draw 26%, Al Najma 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Bukayriyah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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