Hibernians FC 3-3 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 56%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.01/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.57
+104% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
01.05.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 HT 2-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
15.02.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
28.09.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
3-3
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC and Zabbar St. Patrick shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 61% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 39%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernians FC and 2.25 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Hibernians FC 3-3 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 28%, draw 24%, Zabbar St. Patrick 48%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →