Gaddafi 1-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Dec 2025

Gaddafi
1-0 HT 1-0
Kitara
📅18/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gaddafi vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaddafi v Kitara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.49/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.28
-48% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gaddafi 1-0 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
1-0
AWAY Kitara
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi nicked a narrow win over Kitara 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gaddafi had 52% of the ball to Kitara's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs Kitara?

Gaddafi 1-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 31%, draw 27%, Kitara 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kitara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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