Sunderland 0-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Jan 2024

Sunderland
0-1 HT 0-0
Hull City
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
14.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.19
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.28
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.25
Value flag · 2/X at 14.25 — our 13% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.75/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.4 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sunderland vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
07.04.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 4-4 HT 2-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
17.12.2022 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
20.04.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-2 HT 1-2 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
09.01.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
05.09.2020 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNLK

Sunderland 0-1 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-1
AWAY Hull City
0.77 xG 0.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
484 Passes 350
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City edged past Sunderland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sunderland had 58% of the ball to Hull City's 42%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 0.77 to 0.11 — on chances, Sunderland could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sunderland and 1.33 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Hull City?

Sunderland 0-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 45%, draw 29%, Hull City 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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